Login/Sign up

World Association of International Studies

PAX, LUX ET VERITAS SINCE 1965
Post Will Putin Attack Lithuania to "Secure" Kaliningrad?
Created by John Eipper on 06/22/22 4:47 AM

Previous posts in this discussion:

Post

Will Putin Attack Lithuania to "Secure" Kaliningrad? (Francisco Wong-Diaz, USA, 06/22/22 4:47 am)

A friend just sent me a startling message, that Putin is mobilizing against Lithuania to "secure" the corridor to the Kaliningrad enclave. Please confirm with any WAIS sources and pass along any information received.

JE comments: Francisco Wong-Díaz appended an email that announced the shipment of tanks, artillery, and troops to the Lithuanian border. The email (no author mentioned) concluded ominously:

If Lithuania does not repeal its embargo of rail traffic between Russia and the Russian oblast of Kaliningrad, Russia **will** break the blockade by military force. (Emphasis in the original.)

We all know this, but here's a scary reminder:  if Putin attacks NATO member Lithuania, it's war.  Will a showdown between NATO and the rump alliance of Russia and Belarus be massive enough to count as WWIII?  Let us pray we don't have to find out.  For starters, Putin should know that he doesn't have the military strength to conduct a two-front war.

WAISer Tom Hashimoto divides his time between Poland and Lithuania.  Tom, what's the present mood in Vilnius?


SHARE:
Rate this post
Informational value 
Insight 
Fairness 
Reader Ratings (0)
0%
Informational value0%
Insight0%
Fairness0%

Visits: 183

Comments/Replies

Please login/register to reply or comment: Login/Sign up

  • Russian Threats to Lithuania, Estonia (Eugenio Battaglia, Italy 06/23/22 6:45 AM)
    Frankly, I did not expect Lithuania to become a casus belli for Russia. I would have bet on Estonia but this is only due to my deep interest in ethnic problems.

    Lithuania is 65,200 square km with 2.8 million inhabitants, of which 79.3% are Lithuanian, 8.5% Polish, 8.5% Russians then Belorussians, Ukrainians, Germans, and Jews. It has a history going back 1000 years, but in 1300 the Grand Duchy of Lithuania extended to present-day Lithuania, Belarus, Ukraine including Odessa, and parts of Russia and Poland. Then the Commonwealth of Poland and Lithuania was formed, but in the 17th century the Union collapsed and a great part of it was absorbed by the Russian Empire.


    Its independence was regained after WWI and the wars against the Bolsheviks and Poland. The Lithuanians acquired the German Memel territory but not Vilnius, which remained in Poland. Oh, by the way, in Eastern Europe between the two world wars, democracy was almost unknown.


    Lithuania was occupied by the USSR in spite of the Molotov-Ribbentrop pact, which assigned Lithuania to the area under German influence (the first Soviet violation of the pact). The US on 23 July 1940 stated that such an occupation would never be recognized. Such a declaration can be very relevant to the present, as according to NATO a country with controversial sovereignty cannot enter the alliance. Some Russians may claim that the sovereignty of Lithuania is controversial.


    Germany "liberated" Lithuania in June 1941 and many Lithuanians joined the Wehrmacht and the Waffen SS, together with people from the other Baltic nations, forming several divisions: the 15° Letland, 19° Latvia, and the 20° Estonia. The freedom fighters (mostly ex-SS) continued their fight until 1956, as they also did in Ukraine.


    The independence of Lithuania returned with the collapse of the USSR.


    Estonia is 45,228 square km with 1.3 million inhabitants, 70% of whom are Estonian, 25% Russian, then Belorussians, Ukrainians, etc.


    Among the Russian minority, the town of Nerva is practically entirely Russian. There is a large population of the so-called "ex-Soviet Slavs" who immigrated during the "Russification" of Stalin and are considered "stateless" by the Estonian government. This is a clear violation of their civil rights. Moreover, Estonian is the only official language.


    Historically Estonia was generally dominated by the German "Livonian Brothers of the Sword" or by Sweden and then by the Russian Empire.


    From all the above I was convinced that Putin would have put pressure on Estonia as a defender of the Russian minority. Rather, the (foolish?) actions of Lithuania have moved the pressure South.


    Why are we so concerned about Russian troops entering a foreign country, while the Empire's troops conquered and for 77 years have remained in Japan, South Korea, Germany, and Italy with their nuclear weapons?


    The UN Treaty prohibiting nuclear weapons entered force on 22 January 2021, in spite of the opposition of the Empire. The Non-Proliferation Treaty of 1975 already prohibited the positioning of foreign nuclear arms in their territories of non-nuclear nations. Italy, of course, ratified the treaty but cannot enforce it, being a good lackey of the Empire.


    By the way, in Spain, there are complaints about the high costs for the Spaniards of having US bases on their territories (theoretically without nuclear weapons). See "La OTAN en España y viceversa 3 bases, 150 millones de euros":


    https://www.lamarea.com/2022/06/21/otan-espana-3-bases-150-millones-euros-anuales


    Disclaimer: in 1962 I was chief mate on a tanker of US ownership. I was happy to follow the orders of the US Navy in the possible fight against the Soviet Navy, but after 1991 everything should have changed, first of all, the occupation of Italy.


    JE comments:  The focus of the La Marea article is on NATO bases and the cost to Spain of NATO operations--not quite the same thing as US bases.  Spain's share of the total NATO expenses are 5.99%.  Doesn't that sound more or less fair--unless of course you agree with the ubiquitous graffiti I saw in Spain in my college days:  OTAN no?


    And any updates from/about Lithuania?  Tom Hashimoto, are you out there?


    Please login/register to reply or comment:


Trending Now



All Forums with Published Content (45277 posts)

- Unassigned

Culture & Language

American Indians Art Awards Bestiary of Insults Books Conspiracy Theories Culture Ethics Film Food Futurology Gender Issues Humor Intellectuals Jews Language Literature Media Coverage Movies Music Newspapers Numismatics Philosophy Plagiarism Prisons Racial Issues Sports Tattoos Western Civilization World Communications

Economics

Capitalism Economics International Finance World Bank World Economy

Education

Education Hoover Institution Journal Publications Libraries Universities World Bibliography Series

History

Biographies Conspiracies Crime Decline of West German Holocaust Historical Figures History Holocausts Individuals Japanese Holocaust Leaders Learning Biographies Learning History Russian Holocaust Turkish Holocaust

Nations

Afghanistan Africa Albania Algeria Argentina Asia Australia Austria Bangladesh Belgium Belize Bolivia Brazil Canada Central America Chechnya Chile China Colombia Costa Rica Croatia Cuba Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark East Europe East Timor Ecuador Egypt El Salvador England Estonia Ethiopia Europe European Union Finland France French Guiana Germany Greece Guatemala Haiti Hungary Iceland India Indonesia Iran (Persia) Iraq Ireland Israel/Palestine Italy Japan Jordan Kenya Korea Kosovo Kuwait Kyrgyzstan Latin America Liberia Libya Mali Mexico Middle East Mongolia Morocco Namibia Nations Compared Netherlands New Zealand Nicaragua Niger Nigeria North America Norway Pacific Islands Pakistan Palestine Paraguay Peru Philippines Poland Polombia Portugal Romania Saudi Arabia Scandinavia Scotland Serbia Singapore Slovakia South Africa South America Southeast Asia Spain Sudan Sweden Switzerland Syria Thailand The Pacific Tunisia Turkey Turkmenistan UK (United Kingdom) Ukraine USA (America) USSR/Russia Uzbekistan Venezuela Vietnam West Europe Yemen Yugoslavia Zaire

Politics

Balkanization Communism Constitutions Democracy Dictators Diplomacy Floism Global Issues Hegemony Homeland Security Human Rights Immigration International Events Law Nationalism NATO Organizations Peace Politics Terrorism United Nations US Elections 2008 US Elections 2012 US Elections 2016 US Elections 2020 Violence War War Crimes Within the US

Religion

Christianity Hinduism Islam Judaism Liberation Theology Religion

Science & Technology

Alcohol Anthropology Automotives Biological Weapons Design and Architecture Drugs Energy Environment Internet Landmines Mathematics Medicine Natural Disasters Psychology Recycling Research Science and Humanities Sexuality Space Technology World Wide Web (Internet)

Travel

Geography Maps Tourism Transportation

WAIS

1-TRIBUTES TO PROFESSOR HILTON 2001 Conference on Globalizations Academic WAR Forums Ask WAIS Experts Benefactors Chairman General News Member Information Member Nomination PAIS Research News Ronald Hilton Quotes Seasonal Messages Tributes to Prof. Hilton Varia Various Topics WAIS WAIS 2006 Conference WAIS Board Members WAIS History WAIS Interviews WAIS NEWS waisworld.org launch WAR Forums on Media & Research Who's Who