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PostAvoiding War with China? What Can Be Done (Hall Gardner, -France, 05/16/21 4:28 am)
In citing Bob Dylan ("Talkin' World War III Blues"), yes I was trying to attract some attention!
In fact, I do think the chances for major power war are growing, and Taiwan is one of the major hot spots. The former head of Indo-Pacific Command, Adm. Philip Davidson, has warned that Beijing could decide to try to seize control of Taiwan by force by 2027.
But instead of provoking a new US naval build-up (as it appears to be doing), the Chinese "threat" to Taiwan should lead to a major US and EU diplomatic offensive that is designed 1) to bring Beijing and Taipei into a peaceful dialogue, and 2) to set up international confidence-building and security measures that seek to secure the Sea Lines of Communications (SLOC) for all.
Instead of engaging in meaningless sanctions and counter-sanctions, the time is now for an international diplomatic offensive.
Otherwise, it will prove too late to prevent a real war!
JE comments: Hall, I presume the Taiwan issue will be front and center during Thursday's webinar. (2 PM Paris time; here are the details: https://waisworld.org/go.jsp?id=02a&l=en&objectType=post&o=140305&objectTypeId=102940&topicId=10 ). It seems to me that had China really wanted to take Taiwan by force, it would have done so by now...am I too optimistic? This is high-stakes stuff, but here's the biggest question: would the US go to war to stop it?